Asia FX muted, dollar steady as June rate cut bets recede By Investing.com
Investing.com– Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Monday, while the dollar steadied as a blowout nonfarm payrolls report saw traders sharply scale back expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in June.
Anticipation of more cues on U.S. interest rates- specifically from inflation data and more Fed commentary- also kept sentiment towards Asian markets largely on edge.
Dollar steadies as markets price out June rate cut bets
The and rose mildly in Asian trade, extending gains after a substantially stronger-than-expected report for March.
The report, which showed the U.S. labor market running hot, saw markets severely scale back expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by as soon as June.
Traders now expect a roughly 51% chance of a 25 basis point cut in June, down from 55% seen last week. Expectations for a hold jumped to a 46.8% possibility from 39.6% seen last week, according to the .
More cues on inflation are due on Wednesday from data for March.
The are also due on Wednesday, and are expected to provide more cues after a slew of officials warned that the bank was in no hurry to trim rates.
The prospect of higher for longer U.S. rates presents more pressure on Asian currencies- a notion which kept most region units trading in a tight range on Monday.
USDJPY treads water, intervention levels eyed
The Japanese yen moved little on Monday, with the pair hovering close to the 152 level.
While the pair had fallen from the 152 level- its highest in 34 years- last week, it now appeared to be moving back towards those highs. Levels above 152 are expected to potentially attract intervention by Japanese authorities, after a slew of verbal warnings from Japanese ministers in recent weeks.
Japanese read as expected for February. But wages are expected to pick up in the coming months, potentially heralding a more hawkish Bank of Japan.
Among other Asian units, the Chinese yuan moved little with the pair pinned near five-month highs. The currency saw a renewed wave of selling in recent sessions, although further gains in the USDCNY pair were limited by measures from the People’s Bank of China.
The Australian dollar’s pair rose slightly, while the Indian rupee’s pair hovered well above the 83 level.
The South Korean won weakened slightly, with the pair rising 0.1%, while the Singapore dollar’s pair tread water.