Litecoin Price Analysis: Bearish sentiment deepens, $50 in focus

Litecoin (LTC) trades in red below $54 at the time of writing on Thursday, after correcting by over 3% so far this week. The bearish price action is further supported by derivatives data, as Open Interest (OI) has been falling steadily alongside rising short bets, while the technical outlook remains unfavorable.

Litecoin derivatives data shows fading investor sentiment

Litecoin futures OI falls to $341.27 million on Thursday, having been steadily declining since mid-January. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.

Litecoin open interest chart. Source: Coinglass

In addition, Litecoin’s long-to-short ratio reads 0.98 on Thursday and has failed to remain above 1 for the third time so far this month, signaling that traders are reluctant to add long positions. This ratio below 1 indicates bearish sentiment as traders are betting on the asset price to fall.

Litecoin long-to-short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC bears aiming for the $50 mark

Litecoin’s trades at $53.28 as of writing on Thursday. The 9-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $54.14 remains below the 50-day SMA at $66.99, with both sloping lower to underscore a bearish setup.

Price holds beneath these gauges, keeping sellers in control. On the daily chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line stands above the Signal line and marginally above zero, but the histogram has started to contract, suggesting fading upside momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 33 (neutral-to-bearish) below the midline, reflecting subdued demand.

Measured from the $70.49 high to the $45.07 low, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $54.78 acts as initial resistance, with the 50% retracement at $57.78 capping the next recovery attempt.

On the downside, support is seen at $50.39, its weekly level. A daily close above $54.78 would ease immediate downside pressure and open room toward $57.78, while failure to reclaim that barrier would keep focus on $50.39 and maintain the broader bearish bias.