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Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC correction deepens, $45 in focus

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Litecoin (LTC) is extending its correction, trading below $50.50 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after losing 4% the previous day. The bearish price action is further supported by derivatives data, as Open Interest (OI) has been falling steadily alongside rising short bets, while the technical outlook remains unfavorable.

Litecoin derivatives data shows bearish bias

Litecoin futures OI falls to $328.60 million on Tuesday, having been steadily declining since mid-January. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.

Litecoin open interest chart. Source: Coinglass

In addition, Litecoin’s long-to-short ratio reads 0.94 on Tuesday and has failed to remain above 1 for the third time so far this month, signaling that traders are reluctant to add long positions. This ratio below 1 indicates bearish sentiment as traders are betting on the Litecoin price to fall.

Litecoin long-to-short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC bears aim for the $45 mark

Litecoin price trades at $50.39 as of writing on Tuesday. The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) slopes lower at $62.36, maintaining a bearish bias as price holds beneath it. Rallies remain capped below this average, keeping recovery attempts fragile. 

On the daily chart, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is above the signal and near the zero line, while a positive but contracting histogram suggests fading bullish momentum.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 32.26 stays below the midline, indicating persistent bearish pressure near oversold territory.

Measured from the $70.49 high to the $45.07 low, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $51.06 acts as immediate resistance, while the 38.2% retracement at $54.78 caps the next rebound. Support is seen at $50.39, with resistance further up at $61.62. 

A push above $51.06 would open room toward $54.78, whereas a daily close below $50.39 could extend the slide within the prevailing downtrend toward the February 6 low of $45.07.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)



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