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Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC whale and derivatives activity rises amid weak price action

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Litecoin (LTC) has seen a surge in whale activity and derivatives interest over the past three days, despite subdued prices.

Whale transactions (>$100K) have risen consistently over the past three days, reaching a five-week high. In contrast to the current move, LTC’s price was higher the last time whale activity reached these levels.

“Historically, an asset has a significantly higher likelihood of reversal on whale spikes,” wrote Santiment in an X post on Tuesday.

LTC Whale Transactions (>$100K). Source: Santiment

These whale transactions may have largely been targeted at buying activity as Litecoin exchanges have recorded net outflows of more than $45 million over the past three days, according to Coinglass data.

Simultaneously, Litecoin open interest (OI) has also surged during the same period. Between Monday and Wednesday, LTC OI has risen over 54% to 8.25 million LTC, its highest level since the October 10 leverage flush. Litecoin’s price was sitting above $100 the last time OI was around such levels.

LTC Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

Open interest is the total worth of outstanding contracts in a derivatives market. The increase indicates a return of risk appetite in LTC derivatives trading avenues.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles near 20-day EMA

Litecoin is struggling on Wednesday to break above the 20-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) after finding support at $75. A firm rise above these EMAs could see LTC test a descending trendline resistance extending from November.

LTC/USDT daily chart

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator (Stoch) remain below their neutral levels after a brief upward rise, indicating dominant bearish momentum lingers.



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